Norman Fenton is Professor of Risk and Information Management at Queen Mary University of London and is also a Director of Agena, a company that specialises in risk assessment for critical systems. Norman is a mathematician by training whose current focus is on critical decision-making and on quantifying uncertainty using causal, probabilistic models that combine data and knowledge.
Since March 2020 he has published many articles using this approach to better inform the public about COVID-19 risk and misinformation. This includes highlighting the multiple problems that arise from equating PCR positive test results with ‘cases’. Norman is a member of the HART (Health and Recovery Team) group. [BIO]
- Where are the Numbers? Substack – HERE
- Website – HERE
- YouTube – HERE
- Agena Risk – WEBSITE
- Videos on YouTube explaining statistic and data analysis and the tricks that are used! – HERE
- Twitter – HERE
- HART group – HERE
- Last list of COVID-19 Papers written by Fenton et al – HERE
Excess Mortality data points – HERE
Interviews and articles in reverse chronological order
2024
March 16, 2024- Norman Fenton: Helping understand what ‘false positives’ in diagnostic testing really mean – WATCH, READ
- Many still fail to understand the ‘elephant in the room’ – the impact of the underlying population infection rate.
February 16, 2024 – Randy Bock: Prof. Fenton’s Mathematical Search for Covid Truth. Is the Lancet an Ally?- WATCH, From Zika to Covid and the corruption of science – READ
2023
October 18, 2023 – Too Many Dead and Australian excess deaths inquiry – Prof Norman Fenton – WATCH, READ
July 30, 2023 – Where are the numbers? Substack: The very best of Cheap Trick…..How widespread is the (mal)practice of miscategorising vaccination status? – READ, DarkHorse Podcast discuss – WATCH
- “The ‘cheap trick’ is simple: categorise those who are vaccinated as unvaccinated up until some arbitrarily defined time period after vaccination takes place. The time period might be 7, 14 or 21 days. The supposed justification for this practice being that the benefits of the vaccine do not accrue until it has had time to ‘kick in’.”
- [i.e. a person that has been injected with a product labelled “vaccine” is not – for the purposes of paperwork and statistical data collection purposes, categorised as “vaccinated” until we says so! Anything that happens to that person before that time period is reached, the system will categorise them as “unvaccinated”.]
- This article is a first attempt a list of articles (observational and other studies) that have employed the ‘cheap trick’ when assessing vaccine effectiveness for either infection, hospitalisation or death.
May 29, 2023 – Doc Malik: COVID, Statistics, Anti-semitism, Net Zero and more with Norman Fenton – WATCH
May 24, 2023 – Norman Fenton and John Campbell discuss Canadian excess deaths – WATCH
May 2, 2023 – Where are the numbers? Substack: The illusion of vaccine efficacy revisited – How to make a placebo vaccine look 95% effective and guarantee repeat business – READ, WATCH, ARCHIVE
- Demonstrating “why a vaccine that is actually merely a placebo will inevitably appear to have high efficacy if there is a time delay after vaccination during which the participant is classified as ‘unvaccinated’.”
“We are talking about observational population studies here during a vaxx rollout, so there is no meaningful notion of ‘classifying everybody as unvaxxed for first 2/3 weeks post jab’. That’s why they were able to use this method of deceit. This is exactly what they did.”
Prof Norman Fenton – in Commnets
- May 7, 2023 – Matthew Crawford Substack | Rounding the Earth: Adding to Fenton‘s Miscategorization Illusion, Part 1 – Shattering the Efficacy Illusion, Part 8 – READ
April 21, 2023- Norman Fenton Substack | Where are the numbers?: Interviews: covid data update, academic censorship, and net zero implications – READ
April 20, 2023 – Gareth Icke: Interview with Professor Norman Fenton – discussing net zero and how the covid lockdowns were a dry run – EXCERPT, TRANSCRIPT, CREDIT
April 20, 2023 – Out of the Blank podcast #1393 with Prof Nornan Fenton on academic censorship and more – LISTEN
April 17, 2023 – Coffee and a Mike Podcast Ep #591: Interview with Prof Norman Fenton – discussion on covid, vaccine injured, academia in the UK, being woke, climate change, the WEF and much more – LISTEN, Substack – READ
April 13, 2023 – NTD UK News: Climate Change: What Is ‘Absolute Zero’? – WATCH
April 11, 2023 – Fox News : 2050 Net Zero target: Laura Ingraham interview with Norman Fenton – WATCH, what ‘net zero’ really means – TWEET
April 10, 2023 – Prof Norman Fenton on Twitter: Reminder of what ‘net zero’ really means – THREAD
March 15, 2023 – Norman Fenton Substack: The Lancet heavily redact their response to our subject access request for internal correspondence relating to rejection of our letter about Pfizer study – What have they got to hide? – READ, Undeclared conflict of interest in Lancet paper (interview excerpt) – WATCH, CREDIT
February 20, 2023 – TNT interview with James Freeman on Bayesian probability, covid data and censorship – WATCH
January 23, 2023 – UK Office for Statistics Regulation: Ed Humpherson to Norman Fenton, Martin Neil, Clare Craig and Scott McLachlan: ONS Deaths by Vaccination Status statistics – READ, Prof Martin Neil – TWEET
January 17, 2023 – ResearchGate: The Lancet and the Pfizer Vaccine: A Case Study in Academic Censorship and Deceit in the Covid Era by Fenton & Neil – READ, TWEET
January 15, 2023 – Hearts of Oak: Prof Norman Fenton – How Statistics Are Used to Manipulate and Trick Us – WATCH
January 10, 2023 – Norman Fenton Substack: The curious case of Dr Sharon Alroy-Preis and the claims of safety and effectiveness of the Pfizer vaccine – READ
- Re May 5, 2021 – Israel observational study published in The Lancet: Impact and effectiveness of mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, and deaths following a nationwide vaccination campaign in Israel: an observational study using national surveillance data – READ, PDF
- “Its claim of 95% effectiveness – which happened to be exactly the same figure claimed by Pfizer in its original Phase 3 randomised controlled trial…”
- “[This Lancet study] was widely used as the ultimate confirmation of how incredibly effective the vaccine was (the study did not consider safety… But the study was flawed in many ways and on 17 May 2021 we submitted a rapid response (just 450 words) to The Lancet explaining why the claim was exaggerated…” [20 months later the Lancet responded, see below]
January 9, 2023 – Norman Fenton: “In May 2021 we submitted a rapid response to .@TheLancet
paper claiming 95% effectiveness of Pfizer vaxx in large observational trial. We explained why the claim was exaggerated (see https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/important-caveats-to-pfizer-vaccine). After 20 months we finally got this response. Lancet is a disgrace.” – TWEET, CREDIT
- Re May 17, 2021 – Is the Pfizer vaccine as effective as claimed? – SUBSTACK
January 3, 2023 – Norman Fenton & Martin Neil | Where are the Numbers? Substack: How many lives did the Covid vaccines really save? – A response to Steve Kirsch’s challenge “Based on your analysis, what is the decrease in all-cause mortality from Covid specifically attributable to the vaccines? – READ, Geoff Pain – GETTR
- “All-cause mortality following a vaccine roll-out is the only rational way to assess the efficacy of the vaccine because it tells us whether the benefits of the vaccine outweigh the risks; if all-cause mortality rates are lower in the vaccinated then we can conclude that the vaccine must be saving more people from dying from the disease than it is killing from adverse reactions to it.”
- “Even if the vaccines really did save 20 million from covid deaths then it would not be effective if it led to more than 20 million deaths from adverse events.”
- “In fact, not only is there now strong evidence of an increase in all-cause mortality among the vaccinated, but we do not believe there is any objective reliable evidence that the covid vaccines saved any PREVENTABLE deaths from covid.” Nine reason…
2022
December 22, 2022 – Norman Fenton: Why we cannot ignore the Lancet [FLAWED] claim that the vaccines saved 20 million lives – WATCH
- “Despite being easily debunked, the paper published in The Lancet claiming the covid vaccines saved 20 million lives in the first year alone is being used to shut down debate about vaccine injuries and deaths.”
- The Lancet: Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study by Watson et al – PAPER
December 14, 2022 – Where Are The Numbers Substack by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil: The Devil’s Advocate: An Exploratory Analysis of 2022 Excess Mortality – What is causing excess deaths: Covid, long-covid, lockdowns, healthcare or the vaccines? – READ
November 2022 – Researchgate: What the ONS Mortality Covid-19 Surveillance Data can tell us about Vaccine Safety and Efficacy – Norman Fenton, Clare Graig et al – READ
- ” …all-cause mortality rate in the vaccinated (1,367 deaths per 100k person years) being much higher than in the unvaccinated (671 deaths per 100k person years)”
- “…major anomalies in the mis-categorization of deaths by vaccination status (especially in the first part of 2021)”
- “There is also now strong evidence that the ONS underestimates the proportion of unvaccinated, which leads to inflated mortality rates for the unvaccinated relative to the vaccinated.” Is it 8%, 20% or 26%? “…either the ONS is underestimating the proportion of unvaccinated in its sample or the sample is so unrepresentative of the whole population that any inferences made using the ONS data are worthless.”
- “Either way, the ONS estimate of the proportion unvaccinated must not be used for any comparisons of vaccine efficacy or safety of the whole England population.”
October 25, 2022 – Dr John Campbell: Office of National Statistics (ONS) sample group discussion with Professor Norman Fenton – WATCH
October 24, 2022 – Fenton Video: How an illusion of efficacy can be established for any treatment – Illustration of a Highly Effective Placebo! – WATCH
October 2, 2022 – Fenton Substack: More on the illusions of vaccine efficacy – READ
September 18, 2022 – The Delingpod: A James Delingpole Podcast with Norman Fenton – WATCH
September 2, 2021 – Pandemic Podcast with Dan Astin-Gregory: CAN WE BELIEVE ANY OF THE COVID NUMBERS? | PROFESSOR NORMAN FENTON – WATCH
August 21, 2022 – DarkHorse Podcast: Wikipedia and the War on Science: Bret Weinstein Speaks with Norman Fenton – WATCH, Wikipedia smears and spreads lies about COVID dissidents – EXCERPT
July 31, 2022 – Radical w/Maajid Nawaz #15 – On Responding to the BBC’s Propaganda Documentary “Unvaxxed” – We speak at length to Nazarin Veronica and Vicky Borman, who both featured in the BBC’s propaganda documentary “Unvaxxed”, and we present to them University of London Professor Norman Fenton who addresses the unanswered questions from their negative experience with the BBC. – WATCH
July 22, 2022 – Rise with BNT: Norman Fenton interview with Sonia Poulton:
Part 1 “Problems with the basic Covid data” – WATCH
Part 2 “What proportion of the population is unvaxxinated – WATCH
July 8, 2022 – Norman Fenton Blog: BBC wants “to understand why 8% of the population remains unvaccinated against Covid” – READ The BBC [TNI] edited their article within 2 hours of this post!
March 2022 – ResearchGate: Official mortality data for England reveal systematic undercounting of deaths occurring within first two weeks of Covid-19 vaccination- Clare Craig, Norman Fenton et al – READ
March 5, 2022 – Norman Fenton Blog: Why are UKHSA obfuscating data on stillbirths by vaccine status: just another statistical illusion? – READ
Explained in Another common statistical illusion arising from a drug trial – WATCH In the video Norman shows a statistical illusion whereby a hypothetical drug that is definitely not safe for pregnant women can be shown to be safe because of a simple ‘trick’ in the way the data is handled.
February 23, 2022 – Norman Fenton: When is trial data sufficient to determine treatment effectiveness? in reducing mortality – WATCH
February 10, 2022 – Voice for Science and Solidatiry: The data noose – Is it time for those responsible to pay? Negative Efficacy in the vaccinated – graphs from UK weekly reports – with Norman Fenton – WATCH, original source unknown
“The official [UK] data is massively compromised by the definition of what constitutes a vaccinated person.”
[A fully vaccinated person]…had their second jab less than six months ago or already has had their third jab. Now when it come to recording cases, hospitalisations and deaths a person who’s not fully vaccinated based on this definition is often classified as unvaccinated.”
“The only simple, and truly objective way to evaluate the overall risk-benefit of the vaccines is to compare, all cause mortality for vaccinated against unvaccinated…the count of all cause death should be higher among the unvaccinated than the vaccinated…[and] as far as we’re concerned any person who’s had at least one dose is vaccinated and any other definition is flawed!“
“We can’t find evidence, overall, that the all-cause mortality is reduced with vaccines!”
Norman Fenton
February 5, 2022 – TrialSite News – Sonia Elijah interview with Prof Norman Fenton: Did UK Office of National Statistics Manipulate Data on Covid Deaths by Vaccination Status? – WATCH
January 4, 2022 – PANDA: Open Science Sessions: How flawed data has driven the narrative with Prof Norman Fenton – WATCH
January 2022 – ReserchGate: Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination – Martin Niel, Norman Fenton, Clare Craig et al – READ, SOURCE
2021
December 29, 2021 – Probability & Law: Covid-19: Definitions matter – and these are REAL – READ, TWEET
A response to : “How definitions influence perceptions of covid lethality, and vaccines safety and effectiveness” – How the UK Government and CDC defines COVID-19 cases and deaths.
December 16, 2021 – The Highwire Ep 246: COVID COVER-UP – FULL, Norman Fenton: Mathematician Uncovers Disturbine Mortality Data – WATCH, BACKUP
November 14, 2021 – Norman Fenton Substack: Is vaccine efficacy a statistical illusion? “Placebo Vaccination” – READ, Analysing Covid vaccine efficiency and safety statistics – WATCH Placebo vaccine illusion demonstrated in Excel – WATCH
December 13, 2021 – World Council for Health | General Assembly: Prof Norman Fenton: Latest Data on Vaccine Efficacy & Safety From the UK – WATCH, FULL
December 9, 2021 – GB News hosted by Nigel Farage: guests Norman Fenton and Sally Cutler. Covers the isue of ethicacy of vaccine mandates and the data to support vaccine effectiveness – WATCH
December 3, 2021 – Researchgate: Latest statistics on England mortality data suggest systematic mis-categorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination – Neil, Fenton, Smalley, Crag – READ, TWEET, (July 2023 – SUBSTACK)
December 1, 2021 – The impact of misclassifying deaths in evaluating vaccine safety: the same statistical illusion – READ
November 17, 2021 – Norman Fenton Lecture: Analysing Covid vaccine efficiency and safety statistics – Systematic flaws in COVID-19 vaccine efficacy and safety statistics – WATCH, SUBSTACK, EXCERPT
- Norman shows how easy it is to create a statistical illsusion showing high efficacy rate for a drug even if it has no effect at all.
Novembe 14, 2021 – Is vaccine efficacy a statistical illusion? – READ
- Demonstration of if there was a one-week delay in reporting deaths then a vaccine that was a placebo would be seen to have a decreased mortality rate for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated.
July 17, 2021 – The ‘Lockdowns Summit’ was hosted by Question Everything: – SOURCE, SUMMIT on YouTube
- Why the statistics driving COVID-19 are flawed | Professor Norman Fenton – WATCH
June 24, 2021 -Marta da Silva Gameiro interviews Norman Fenton about mathematical bias of COVID-19 PCR testing – Covers a range of issues on how the COVID-19 narrative has been misrepresented because of reliance on equating a ‘case’ with a PCR-postive test. – WATCH
Covid lockdowns: just the precursor for climate lockdowns? – EXCERPT
April 9, 2021- Norman Fenton: Smashing the “1 in 3 people with Covid-19 have no symptoms” claim – WATCH
Over the period Dec 2020 – Feb 2021, the UK government, and its scientific advisers, made the persistent and widely publicised claim that “1 in 3 people with the SARS-Cov-2 virus have no symptoms”. We use a contemporaneous study of asymptomatics at Cambridge University to show that the claim is contradicted by the government’s own case numbers over that same period... PAPER
2020
November 6, 2020 – Norman Fenton: What machine learning from big data can never learn; causation without correlation – Most people know you can have correlation without causation, but most also assume you cannot have causation without correlation. This 2-minute video provides a simple example. – WATCH
